Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature near 30°C at Incheon on August 26, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting extreme heating. Historical climatology for Seoul and Incheon shows late-August highs averaging 28–31°C, and current short-range forecasts align closely without signals of strong high-pressure ridges or typhoon influences that could push readings to 32°C or higher. The tight spread between 29°C and 31°C in market-implied odds captures ensemble uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze cooling or localized convection, with traders monitoring the next KMA updates and satellite data for any shifts in moisture or steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
30°C 33%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
7%
29°C
28%
30°C
33%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 33%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
7%
29°C
28%
30°C
33%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature near 30°C at Incheon on August 26, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover limiting extreme heating. Historical climatology for Seoul and Incheon shows late-August highs averaging 28–31°C, and current short-range forecasts align closely without signals of strong high-pressure ridges or typhoon influences that could push readings to 32°C or higher. The tight spread between 29°C and 31°C in market-implied odds captures ensemble uncertainty from possible afternoon sea-breeze cooling or localized convection, with traders monitoring the next KMA updates and satellite data for any shifts in moisture or steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions