Northwesterly winds are advecting milder maritime air into Wellington ahead of a weak front, supporting official MetService and international model guidance for a daily maximum near 15°C on August 24 under mostly fine conditions. This places the outcome above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C while remaining within normal winter variability. Recent model runs show a narrow 14–15°C consensus with minimal updates overnight, reinforcing trader alignment on the 15°C outcome. Minor uncertainty persists from coastal orographic effects or brief cloud breaks that could trim the peak by 1°C, though such shifts would require a notable deviation from current steering patterns and observational trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
15°C 99%
16°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,549 交易量
$54,549 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99%
16°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,549 交易量
$54,549 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Northwesterly winds are advecting milder maritime air into Wellington ahead of a weak front, supporting official MetService and international model guidance for a daily maximum near 15°C on August 24 under mostly fine conditions. This places the outcome above the August climatological average of roughly 12–13°C while remaining within normal winter variability. Recent model runs show a narrow 14–15°C consensus with minimal updates overnight, reinforcing trader alignment on the 15°C outcome. Minor uncertainty persists from coastal orographic effects or brief cloud breaks that could trim the peak by 1°C, though such shifts would require a notable deviation from current steering patterns and observational trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions