Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月25日紐約市的最低溫度？
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
53°F或以下
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
9%
華氏72度或更高
2%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
53°F或以下
$5 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$110 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$10 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$495 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$127 交易量
10%
64-65°F
$109 交易量
32%
66-67°F
$118 交易量
33%
68-69°F
$193 交易量
21%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
9%
華氏72度或更高
$25 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,202結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,202結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations indicate an overnight low in the mid-60s on August 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, consistent with late-summer climatology when dew points in the upper 50s limit further temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between the 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins because subtle differences in cloud cover timing, urban heat island retention, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1-2°F. No major weather systems or model divergence appear in the latest runs, keeping longer-tail outcomes below 10% implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions