Persistent high pressure and light winds over the region are anchoring ensemble forecasts from major models toward a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 26, consistent with late-August climatological norms of 28–29°C. Clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations, while any modest Black Sea breeze or minor cloud increase could cap the peak near the lower end of that range. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes over warmer or cooler extremes. Updated runs from operational centers will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
27°C 48%
28°C 31%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
48%
28°C
31%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 31%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
48%
28°C
31%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and light winds over the region are anchoring ensemble forecasts from major models toward a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 26, consistent with late-August climatological norms of 28–29°C. Clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions reduce the chance of significant deviations, while any modest Black Sea breeze or minor cloud increase could cap the peak near the lower end of that range. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes over warmer or cooler extremes. Updated runs from operational centers will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions