Recent forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies shows a cooling trend for Beijing on August 27 driven by light rain, increased cloud cover, and northerly flow, with projected daily highs clustering around 26–28°C. This follows higher readings near 31°C on August 25 amid lingering summer warmth. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge maxima up or down by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Traders’ tight clustering on 28–29°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and the short time to resolution, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities as the event window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日北京最高溫度?
28°C 37%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 23%
30°C 13%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies shows a cooling trend for Beijing on August 27 driven by light rain, increased cloud cover, and northerly flow, with projected daily highs clustering around 26–28°C. This follows higher readings near 31°C on August 25 amid lingering summer warmth. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge maxima up or down by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Traders’ tight clustering on 28–29°C outcomes reflects this narrow scientific range and the short time to resolution, with updates from the next model runs likely to refine probabilities as the event window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions