Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 show notable model spread, with some runs (including certain GFS and local guidance) projecting peak readings near 23–25°C under northwest winds that advect milder maritime air, while others favor 19–21°C amid increased cloud cover and lighter southerly flow. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with a post-cold-front ridge that has stabilized conditions after early-August systems, supports the potential for brief afternoon warming above seasonal norms of roughly 17–19°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of wind shift timing and boundary-layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日開普敦最高溫度?
23°C 31%
24°C 30%
25°C或以上 22%
21°C 17%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
31%
24°C
30%
25°C或以上
22%
23°C 31%
24°C 30%
25°C或以上 22%
21°C 17%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
17%
22°C
15%
23°C
31%
24°C
30%
25°C或以上
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 show notable model spread, with some runs (including certain GFS and local guidance) projecting peak readings near 23–25°C under northwest winds that advect milder maritime air, while others favor 19–21°C amid increased cloud cover and lighter southerly flow. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–24°C. Diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with a post-cold-front ridge that has stabilized conditions after early-August systems, supports the potential for brief afternoon warming above seasonal norms of roughly 17–19°C. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the key variables of wind shift timing and boundary-layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions