**Trader consensus at 100% for 22°C reflects alignment between multiple forecast models and South African Weather Service guidance showing a daytime maximum of 22°C on August 25, 2026.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southeasterly winds, and typical winter diurnal ranges (morning lows near 10–12°C rising to afternoon peaks) support this outcome under stable high-pressure conditions. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Uncertainties include localized variations from coastal effects, model bias in boundary-layer mixing, or late-day measurement revisions that could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月25日的最高溫度?
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$22,051 交易量
$22,051 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$22,051 交易量
$22,051 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for 22°C reflects alignment between multiple forecast models and South African Weather Service guidance showing a daytime maximum of 22°C on August 25, 2026.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate southeasterly winds, and typical winter diurnal ranges (morning lows near 10–12°C rising to afternoon peaks) support this outcome under stable high-pressure conditions. Official resolution will depend on verified maximum readings from stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Uncertainties include localized variations from coastal effects, model bias in boundary-layer mixing, or late-day measurement revisions that could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions