Recent short-term model guidance shows mild late-winter conditions for Buenos Aires on August 30, with maximum temperatures expected near 16–19 °C under easterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming and insolation, driven by subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and low-level wind shifts rather than any strong synoptic feature. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, so the current consensus sits slightly above climatology amid a stable post-frontal regime with no significant fronts or moisture advection expected before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models will narrow the range as the event approaches within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月30日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
21°C 36%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
27%
21°C
36%
22°C
24%
23°C或更高
4%
21°C 36%
20°C 27%
22°C 24%
19°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
14°C
$5 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5 交易量
1%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$8 交易量
2%
18°C
$40 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
9%
20°C
$33 交易量
27%
21°C
$150 交易量
36%
22°C
$24 交易量
24%
23°C或更高
$127 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model guidance shows mild late-winter conditions for Buenos Aires on August 30, with maximum temperatures expected near 16–19 °C under easterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming and insolation, driven by subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and low-level wind shifts rather than any strong synoptic feature. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, so the current consensus sits slightly above climatology amid a stable post-frontal regime with no significant fronts or moisture advection expected before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models will narrow the range as the event approaches within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$402結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model guidance shows mild late-winter conditions for Buenos Aires on August 30, with maximum temperatures expected near 16–19 °C under easterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming and insolation, driven by subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and low-level wind shifts rather than any strong synoptic feature. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, so the current consensus sits slightly above climatology amid a stable post-frontal regime with no significant fronts or moisture advection expected before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models will narrow the range as the event approaches within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$402結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETRecent short-term model guidance shows mild late-winter conditions for Buenos Aires on August 30, with maximum temperatures expected near 16–19 °C under easterly flow, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22 °C reflects modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming and insolation, driven by subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and low-level wind shifts rather than any strong synoptic feature. Historical August maxima average near 18 °C, so the current consensus sits slightly above climatology amid a stable post-frontal regime with no significant fronts or moisture advection expected before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models will narrow the range as the event approaches within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions