Persistent rain and showers across London on August 29, driven by a southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover, have suppressed daytime heating and positioned the highest temperature near 21°C as the market leader. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models converge on a maximum of 21°C amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, aligning with the 52.5% implied probability, while 20°C sits close behind at 33.5%. These conditions deviate modestly from late-August climatology, where clearer skies often allow peaks near 22°C, but the current setup favors modest values through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated afternoon observations and any final model runs before evening will refine resolution around official recording thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日倫敦的最高溫度?
21°C 57%
22°C 22%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
$112,104 交易量
$112,104 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
19%
21°C
57%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 57%
22°C 22%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
$112,104 交易量
$112,104 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
19%
21°C
57%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and showers across London on August 29, driven by a southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover, have suppressed daytime heating and positioned the highest temperature near 21°C as the market leader. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models converge on a maximum of 21°C amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, aligning with the 52.5% implied probability, while 20°C sits close behind at 33.5%. These conditions deviate modestly from late-August climatology, where clearer skies often allow peaks near 22°C, but the current setup favors modest values through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated afternoon observations and any final model runs before evening will refine resolution around official recording thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions