Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a moderating influence on August 29 maxima in Wuhan, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 3–5 levels expected to limit peak solar heating. This follows the end of the prolonged “three fu” heat episode and aligns with peripheral effects from distant typhoon systems, shifting conditions from recent 35–37°C readings toward 31–34°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty around timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly affects afternoon temperature ceilings on the Celsius scale. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these atmospheric dynamics and the narrow historical window for late-August extremes under similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日武漢氣溫最高?
33°C 28%
32°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
18%
32°C
27%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
32°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
18%
32°C
27%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a moderating influence on August 29 maxima in Wuhan, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds of 3–5 levels expected to limit peak solar heating. This follows the end of the prolonged “three fu” heat episode and aligns with peripheral effects from distant typhoon systems, shifting conditions from recent 35–37°C readings toward 31–34°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty around timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly affects afternoon temperature ceilings on the Celsius scale. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects these atmospheric dynamics and the narrow historical window for late-August extremes under similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions