Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park on August 27 indicate a daytime high near 83°F under humid conditions with a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes. Southerly winds of 10-15 mph and abundant moisture from the south support this range near the long-term average high of 81.8°F, while cloud cover and precipitation could cap peaks if storms develop earlier than modeled. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though timing of convection remains the key uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and afternoon updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日紐約市的最高溫度?
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 5%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 5%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park on August 27 indicate a daytime high near 83°F under humid conditions with a 70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes. Southerly winds of 10-15 mph and abundant moisture from the south support this range near the long-term average high of 81.8°F, while cloud cover and precipitation could cap peaks if storms develop earlier than modeled. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though timing of convection remains the key uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and afternoon updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions