**Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market's concentration of implied probability on 64–69°F bins.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light northwest-to-southwest flow, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80–84°F. Recent observations show consecutive nights dipping to 64–67°F amid dry air and weak pressure gradients, while the approaching shift to southerly winds and rising moisture is expected to limit further cooling and produce a slightly milder minimum than the prior two nights. This consensus from NWS tabular products and area forecast matrices explains why traders have assigned the highest probabilities to the 66–67°F and 64–65°F ranges, with the 68–69°F outcome reflecting residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月26日紐約市的最低溫度？
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
60-61°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
7%
華氏74度或以上
5%
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
60-61°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
55°F或以下
$100 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$10 交易量
4%
58-59°F
$10 交易量
6%
60-61°F
$5 交易量
11%
62-63°F
$61 交易量
9%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
32%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
45%
68-69°F
$844 交易量
31%
70-71°F
$118 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$168 交易量
7%
華氏74度或以上
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market's concentration of implied probability on 64–69°F bins.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies under light northwest-to-southwest flow, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80–84°F. Recent observations show consecutive nights dipping to 64–67°F amid dry air and weak pressure gradients, while the approaching shift to southerly winds and rising moisture is expected to limit further cooling and produce a slightly milder minimum than the prior two nights.
This consensus from NWS tabular products and area forecast matrices explains why traders have assigned the highest probabilities to the 66–67°F and 64–65°F ranges, with the 68–69°F outcome reflecting residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,321結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market's concentration of implied probability on 64–69°F bins.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies under light northwest-to-southwest flow, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80–84°F. Recent observations show consecutive nights dipping to 64–67°F amid dry air and weak pressure gradients, while the approaching shift to southerly winds and rising moisture is expected to limit further cooling and produce a slightly milder minimum than the prior two nights.
This consensus from NWS tabular products and area forecast matrices explains why traders have assigned the highest probabilities to the 66–67°F and 64–65°F ranges, with the 68–69°F outcome reflecting residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,321結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance point to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on August 26, 2026, aligning with the market's concentration of implied probability on 64–69°F bins.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light northwest-to-southwest flow, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80–84°F. Recent observations show consecutive nights dipping to 64–67°F amid dry air and weak pressure gradients, while the approaching shift to southerly winds and rising moisture is expected to limit further cooling and produce a slightly milder minimum than the prior two nights. This consensus from NWS tabular products and area forecast matrices explains why traders have assigned the highest probabilities to the 66–67°F and 64–65°F ranges, with the 68–69°F outcome reflecting residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions