Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 27 August 2026 under partly cloudy, humid conditions with light westerly flow. Real-time station observations through late afternoon reached or approached this threshold without exceeding it significantly, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34 °C and reinforcing the market's 100 % implied probability at 35 °C. Minor uncertainties persist around exact station siting, rounding conventions in official reporting, or localized microclimate effects, but no active tropical systems or rapid cooling mechanisms are present to alter the outcome before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日臺北氣溫最高？
8月27日臺北氣溫最高？
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$47,045 交易量
$47,045 交易量
2026-08-27
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$47,045 交易量
$47,045 交易量
2026-08-27
28°C or below
$1,176 交易量
No
29°C
$588 交易量
No
30°C
$824 交易量
No
31°C
$1,201 交易量
No
32°C
$2,545 交易量
No
33°C
$2,979 交易量
No
34°C
$5,278 交易量
No
35°C
$13,689 交易量
Yes
36°C
$7,501 交易量
No
37°C
$6,955 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$4,309 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 27 August 2026 under partly cloudy, humid conditions with light westerly flow. Real-time station observations through late afternoon reached or approached this threshold without exceeding it significantly, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34 °C and reinforcing the market's 100 % implied probability at 35 °C. Minor uncertainties persist around exact station siting, rounding conventions in official reporting, or localized microclimate effects, but no active tropical systems or rapid cooling mechanisms are present to alter the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$47,045結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 27 August 2026 under partly cloudy, humid conditions with light westerly flow. Real-time station observations through late afternoon reached or approached this threshold without exceeding it significantly, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34 °C and reinforcing the market's 100 % implied probability at 35 °C. Minor uncertainties persist around exact station siting, rounding conventions in official reporting, or localized microclimate effects, but no active tropical systems or rapid cooling mechanisms are present to alter the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,045結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 27 August 2026 under partly cloudy, humid conditions with light westerly flow. Real-time station observations through late afternoon reached or approached this threshold without exceeding it significantly, aligning with climatological August norms of 32–34 °C and reinforcing the market's 100 % implied probability at 35 °C. Minor uncertainties persist around exact station siting, rounding conventions in official reporting, or localized microclimate effects, but no active tropical systems or rapid cooling mechanisms are present to alter the outcome before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions