**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s August 24 high temperature centers on the 76–79 °F range (69.5 % combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service consensus forecasts of 76–77 °F under building upper-level ridging.** After an upper low and associated trough produced cooler, cloudier conditions over the weekend, ridging is expected to strengthen Sunday night into Monday, promoting sunny skies, dry air, and light northerly flow. Official NWS point forecasts and tabular products list a 77 °F high for Seattle (Sea-Tac area) with minimal precipitation chance and highs in the mid-70s to low-80s across the interior lowlands. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological normal of ~76 °F. Model agreement and the absence of significant onshore flow or marine-layer stratus keep the distribution tightly centered near these values, with only modest tail risk for slightly warmer readings if downslope warming strengthens or slightly cooler if winds remain brisk. The market’s pricing therefore mirrors the current short-term forecast consensus rather than any recent observational shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日西雅圖的最高溫度?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Seattle’s August 24 high temperature centers on the 76–79 °F range (69.5 % combined implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service consensus forecasts of 76–77 °F under building upper-level ridging.** After an upper low and associated trough produced cooler, cloudier conditions over the weekend, ridging is expected to strengthen Sunday night into Monday, promoting sunny skies, dry air, and light northerly flow. Official NWS point forecasts and tabular products list a 77 °F high for Seattle (Sea-Tac area) with minimal precipitation chance and highs in the mid-70s to low-80s across the interior lowlands. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological normal of ~76 °F. Model agreement and the absence of significant onshore flow or marine-layer stratus keep the distribution tightly centered near these values, with only modest tail risk for slightly warmer readings if downslope warming strengthens or slightly cooler if winds remain brisk. The market’s pricing therefore mirrors the current short-term forecast consensus rather than any recent observational shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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