Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日巴黎最高溫度？
8月23日巴黎最高溫度？
24°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
37%
24°C
48%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 9%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$34 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$129 交易量
7%
23°C
$42 交易量
37%
24°C
$242 交易量
48%
25°C
$34 交易量
9%
26°C
$34 交易量
7%
27°C
$3 交易量
4%
28°C
$20 交易量
4%
29°C
$20 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$46 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$465結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$465結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August warmth, with Atlantic maritime air and increasing cloud cover expected to cap daytime highs near 23–24°C on August 23. Ensemble model runs from Météo-France and others show substantial overlap between these values due to uncertainty in cloud fraction, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing, keeping market-implied odds tightly matched. Factors favoring 24°C include slightly greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, while 23°C aligns with more persistent stratus or earlier precipitation reducing solar heating. Historical August maxima average around 24–25°C, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of that range with modest day-to-day variability typical at 48-hour lead times.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions