PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 23 show daytime highs of 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that suppress peak heating. Recent station data indicate similar 31–32°C maxima under comparable conditions, while climatological August averages hover near 30°C. Model consensus points to 60–80% rain probability, with heavier showers or clearer breaks as the key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader odds cluster around 30–31°C because monsoon-driven moisture and reduced insolation make extremes below 29°C or above 33°C less probable without major steering-pattern changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 23 show daytime highs of 29–32°C amid the southwest monsoon (habagat), which sustains widespread cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms that suppress peak heating. Recent station data indicate similar 31–32°C maxima under comparable conditions, while climatological August averages hover near 30°C. Model consensus points to 60–80% rain probability, with heavier showers or clearer breaks as the key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader odds cluster around 30–31°C because monsoon-driven moisture and reduced insolation make extremes below 29°C or above 33°C less probable without major steering-pattern changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions