Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on August 21 under partly cloudy conditions with moderating southerlies, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 14 °C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13 °C, and the current setup follows several cooler days (10–12 °C maxima) as polar air eases. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, while ensemble guidance shows limited scope for either strong warming or further cooling before the 24-hour window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with only modest probability assigned to 15 °C or higher should daytime heating exceed expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 64%
13°C 27%
15°C 6%
12°C 2%
最新
$13,183 交易量
最新
$13,183 交易量
2026-08-21
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
27%
14°C
64%
15°C
6%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 64%
13°C 27%
15°C 6%
12°C 2%
最新
$13,183 交易量
最新
$13,183 交易量
2026-08-21
8°C or below
$261 交易量
<1%
9°C
$446 交易量
<1%
10°C
$843 交易量
<1%
11°C
$744 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,874 交易量
2%
13°C
$2,676 交易量
27%
14°C
$3,429 交易量
64%
15°C
$1,527 交易量
6%
16°C
$799 交易量
1%
17°C
$313 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on August 21 under partly cloudy conditions with moderating southerlies, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 14 °C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13 °C, and the current setup follows several cooler days (10–12 °C maxima) as polar air eases. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, while ensemble guidance shows limited scope for either strong warming or further cooling before the 24-hour window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with only modest probability assigned to 15 °C or higher should daytime heating exceed expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,183結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on August 21 under partly cloudy conditions with moderating southerlies, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 14 °C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13 °C, and the current setup follows several cooler days (10–12 °C maxima) as polar air eases. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, while ensemble guidance shows limited scope for either strong warming or further cooling before the 24-hour window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with only modest probability assigned to 15 °C or higher should daytime heating exceed expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,183結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService and international model consensus points to a maximum of 13–14 °C for Wellington on August 21 under partly cloudy conditions with moderating southerlies, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 14 °C. August climatology shows typical highs of 12–13 °C, and the current setup follows several cooler days (10–12 °C maxima) as polar air eases. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, while ensemble guidance shows limited scope for either strong warming or further cooling before the 24-hour window closes. Traders are therefore weighting the upper end of the narrow forecast range, with only modest probability assigned to 15 °C or higher should daytime heating exceed expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions