Persistent warm, humid air masses and extensive cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Tokyo, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models projecting a daily minimum near 24–25°C on August 22. High dew points near 24°C and light northeasterly winds have sustained muggy conditions through the night, aligning closely with the historical late-August average low of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s overwhelming 96% consensus on 25°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable meteorological patterns and limited upside for further cooling. Only an abrupt clearing trend or stronger-than-expected northerly advection could realistically push the low into the low-24°C range or below, though current observations and model consensus show little support for such a shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日東京的最低溫度？
8月22日東京的最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$13,163 交易量
$13,163 交易量
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$13,163 交易量
$13,163 交易量
2026-08-22
21°C或以下
$1,481 交易量
否
22°C
$1,854 交易量
否
23°C
$1,601 交易量
否
24°C
$1,257 交易量
否
25°C
$2,725 交易量
是
26°C
$1,902 交易量
否
27°C
$1,371 交易量
否
28°C
$224 交易量
否
29°C
$214 交易量
否
30°C
$268 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$268 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air masses and extensive cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Tokyo, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models projecting a daily minimum near 24–25°C on August 22. High dew points near 24°C and light northeasterly winds have sustained muggy conditions through the night, aligning closely with the historical late-August average low of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s overwhelming 96% consensus on 25°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable meteorological patterns and limited upside for further cooling. Only an abrupt clearing trend or stronger-than-expected northerly advection could realistically push the low into the low-24°C range or below, though current observations and model consensus show little support for such a shift.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$13,163結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air masses and extensive cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Tokyo, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models projecting a daily minimum near 24–25°C on August 22. High dew points near 24°C and light northeasterly winds have sustained muggy conditions through the night, aligning closely with the historical late-August average low of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s overwhelming 96% consensus on 25°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable meteorological patterns and limited upside for further cooling. Only an abrupt clearing trend or stronger-than-expected northerly advection could realistically push the low into the low-24°C range or below, though current observations and model consensus show little support for such a shift.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,163結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent warm, humid air masses and extensive cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Tokyo, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models projecting a daily minimum near 24–25°C on August 22. High dew points near 24°C and light northeasterly winds have sustained muggy conditions through the night, aligning closely with the historical late-August average low of roughly 23–25°C. The market’s overwhelming 96% consensus on 25°C reflects real-time trader assessment of these stable meteorological patterns and limited upside for further cooling. Only an abrupt clearing trend or stronger-than-expected northerly advection could realistically push the low into the low-24°C range or below, though current observations and model consensus show little support for such a shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions