**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a daily minimum of 20°C for Tokyo on August 30 under cloudy skies with light rain tapering off, aligning with observed overnight lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions typical in late summer, keeping the low close to the forecast value rather than dropping further. Trader consensus at 100% for 20°C reflects the stability of these model outputs and real-time observations, which rarely deviate enough on resolution day to alter the outcome. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger northerly advection could theoretically push readings below 20°C, but current atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日東京最低溫度？
8月30日東京最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,762 交易量
$15,762 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,762 交易量
$15,762 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
$1,770 交易量
No
18°C
$1,117 交易量
No
19°C
$1,773 交易量
No
20°C
$1,693 交易量
Yes
21°C
$2,734 交易量
No
22°C
$3,699 交易量
No
23°C
$1,719 交易量
No
24°C
$392 交易量
No
25°C
$361 交易量
No
26°C
$252 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$252 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a daily minimum of 20°C for Tokyo on August 30 under cloudy skies with light rain tapering off, aligning with observed overnight lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions typical in late summer, keeping the low close to the forecast value rather than dropping further. Trader consensus at 100% for 20°C reflects the stability of these model outputs and real-time observations, which rarely deviate enough on resolution day to alter the outcome. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger northerly advection could theoretically push readings below 20°C, but current atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,762結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a daily minimum of 20°C for Tokyo on August 30 under cloudy skies with light rain tapering off, aligning with observed overnight lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions typical in late summer, keeping the low close to the forecast value rather than dropping further. Trader consensus at 100% for 20°C reflects the stability of these model outputs and real-time observations, which rarely deviate enough on resolution day to alter the outcome. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger northerly advection could theoretically push readings below 20°C, but current atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,762結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a daily minimum of 20°C for Tokyo on August 30 under cloudy skies with light rain tapering off, aligning with observed overnight lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity and northeasterly flow.** This setup limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions typical in late summer, keeping the low close to the forecast value rather than dropping further. Trader consensus at 100% for 20°C reflects the stability of these model outputs and real-time observations, which rarely deviate enough on resolution day to alter the outcome. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger northerly advection could theoretically push readings below 20°C, but current atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions