Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月31日休斯敦的最高溫度？
94-95°F 37%
華氏92-93度 27%
96-97°F 21%
90-91°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
20%
華氏92-93度
27%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
7%
華氏102度或更高
7%
94-95°F 37%
華氏92-93度 27%
96-97°F 21%
90-91°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
83°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
7%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
20%
華氏92-93度
$167 交易量
27%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
37%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
21%
98-99°F
$33 交易量
19%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
7%
華氏102度或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$200結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$200結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions