Recent clearing after Friday's rain and persistent cloud cover has allowed stronger solar heating under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures of 30–32 °C on August 29. Multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on a high near 31 °C, consistent with late-August climatology for Beijing when daytime insolation strengthens following monsoon moisture retreat. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further favor this range over cooler outcomes tied to residual overcast. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41 % probability on 31 °C and combined 84 % on 30–32 °C, aligns with these short-range forecast updates issued in the past 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日北京最高溫度？
8月29日北京最高溫度？
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
29%
31°C
41%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
25°C or below
$256 交易量
<1%
26°C
$432 交易量
<1%
27°C
$238 交易量
1%
28°C
$85 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,182 交易量
8%
30°C
$1,849 交易量
29%
31°C
$500 交易量
41%
32°C
$955 交易量
19%
33°C
$1,422 交易量
4%
34°C
$429 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$363 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after Friday's rain and persistent cloud cover has allowed stronger solar heating under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures of 30–32 °C on August 29. Multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on a high near 31 °C, consistent with late-August climatology for Beijing when daytime insolation strengthens following monsoon moisture retreat. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further favor this range over cooler outcomes tied to residual overcast. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41 % probability on 31 °C and combined 84 % on 30–32 °C, aligns with these short-range forecast updates issued in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,712結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after Friday's rain and persistent cloud cover has allowed stronger solar heating under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures of 30–32 °C on August 29. Multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on a high near 31 °C, consistent with late-August climatology for Beijing when daytime insolation strengthens following monsoon moisture retreat. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further favor this range over cooler outcomes tied to residual overcast. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41 % probability on 31 °C and combined 84 % on 30–32 °C, aligns with these short-range forecast updates issued in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,712結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent clearing after Friday's rain and persistent cloud cover has allowed stronger solar heating under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting peak temperatures of 30–32 °C on August 29. Multiple models (including GFS and regional guidance) converge on a high near 31 °C, consistent with late-August climatology for Beijing when daytime insolation strengthens following monsoon moisture retreat. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further favor this range over cooler outcomes tied to residual overcast. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41 % probability on 31 °C and combined 84 % on 30–32 °C, aligns with these short-range forecast updates issued in the past 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions