**Forecasts for Tokyo on August 28 point to a high near 30–31°C as the most likely outcome, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), show partly to mostly cloudy skies with 50–70% precipitation chances and light variable winds, which reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs reach about 30–31°C amid high humidity, though recent broader seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal temperatures overall due to lingering warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of any convective activity; new JMA or global model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日東京氣溫最高？
8月28日東京氣溫最高？
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
$39 交易量
1%
27°C
$22 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C
$4 交易量
23%
30°C
$0 交易量
31%
31°C
$2 交易量
32%
32°C
$5 交易量
14%
33°C
$8 交易量
6%
34°C
$0 交易量
7%
35°C
$22 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$293 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Tokyo on August 28 point to a high near 30–31°C as the most likely outcome, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), show partly to mostly cloudy skies with 50–70% precipitation chances and light variable winds, which reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs reach about 30–31°C amid high humidity, though recent broader seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal temperatures overall due to lingering warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of any convective activity; new JMA or global model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$395結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Tokyo on August 28 point to a high near 30–31°C as the most likely outcome, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), show partly to mostly cloudy skies with 50–70% precipitation chances and light variable winds, which reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs reach about 30–31°C amid high humidity, though recent broader seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal temperatures overall due to lingering warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of any convective activity; new JMA or global model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$395結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecasts for Tokyo on August 28 point to a high near 30–31°C as the most likely outcome, driven by expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), show partly to mostly cloudy skies with 50–70% precipitation chances and light variable winds, which reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs reach about 30–31°C amid high humidity, though recent broader seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal temperatures overall due to lingering warmth. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of any convective activity; new JMA or global model runs in the next 24–48 hours could refine the peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions