Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, show Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 clustered near 27–29°C amid variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Late-August climatology for the Paris basin places average highs at 23–25°C, so any modest ridge amplification or reduced marine influence could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution, while increased boundary-layer moisture or thicker cloud decks favor the lower probabilities around 27°C. Official resolution will rely on the highest 24-hour reading from the designated Paris station, with final model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours expected to tighten the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日巴黎最高溫度？
8月26日巴黎最高溫度？
28°C 37%
29°C 30%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
37%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 30%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
23°C or below
$25 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$96 交易量
10%
27°C
$91 交易量
23%
28°C
$182 交易量
37%
29°C
$148 交易量
30%
30°C
$91 交易量
6%
31°C
$0 交易量
3%
32°C
$0 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, show Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 clustered near 27–29°C amid variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Late-August climatology for the Paris basin places average highs at 23–25°C, so any modest ridge amplification or reduced marine influence could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution, while increased boundary-layer moisture or thicker cloud decks favor the lower probabilities around 27°C. Official resolution will rely on the highest 24-hour reading from the designated Paris station, with final model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours expected to tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$632結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, show Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 clustered near 27–29°C amid variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Late-August climatology for the Paris basin places average highs at 23–25°C, so any modest ridge amplification or reduced marine influence could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution, while increased boundary-layer moisture or thicker cloud decks favor the lower probabilities around 27°C. Official resolution will rely on the highest 24-hour reading from the designated Paris station, with final model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours expected to tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$632結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, show Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 clustered near 27–29°C amid variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Late-August climatology for the Paris basin places average highs at 23–25°C, so any modest ridge amplification or reduced marine influence could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution, while increased boundary-layer moisture or thicker cloud decks favor the lower probabilities around 27°C. Official resolution will rely on the highest 24-hour reading from the designated Paris station, with final model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours expected to tighten the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions