Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points supporting that level. This aligns with late-August climatology modified by above-average warmth this summer, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for a 20°C low. Traders weight official station data heavily, where measurement thresholds and rounding favor this outcome. A stronger cold advection or rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日巴黎最低溫度？
8月26日巴黎最低溫度？
20°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
$8,036 交易量
$8,036 交易量
2026-08-26
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
20°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
$8,036 交易量
$8,036 交易量
2026-08-26
14°C或以下
$448 交易量
1%
15°C
$335 交易量
<1%
16°C
$304 交易量
1%
17°C
$677 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,625 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,061 交易量
1%
20°C
$890 交易量
99%
21°C
$909 交易量
<1%
22°C
$332 交易量
<1%
23°C
$614 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$840 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points supporting that level. This aligns with late-August climatology modified by above-average warmth this summer, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for a 20°C low. Traders weight official station data heavily, where measurement thresholds and rounding favor this outcome. A stronger cold advection or rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,036結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points supporting that level. This aligns with late-August climatology modified by above-average warmth this summer, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for a 20°C low. Traders weight official station data heavily, where measurement thresholds and rounding favor this outcome. A stronger cold advection or rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,036結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 20°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points supporting that level. This aligns with late-August climatology modified by above-average warmth this summer, producing the market's 99.5% implied probability for a 20°C low. Traders weight official station data heavily, where measurement thresholds and rounding favor this outcome. A stronger cold advection or rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading lower, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions