Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office show a stable overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 17–18°C through the early morning hours. This aligns with the market's 95.5% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting trader confidence in the tight consensus across ensemble runs and observational data. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but current synoptic conditions—lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection—support the elevated reading. Minor deviations remain possible if localized clearing increases overnight heat loss or if the official observing station records a slightly different value, though the forecast envelope stays narrowly centered on 17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日巴黎最低溫度？
8月28日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,909 交易量
$5,909 交易量
2026-08-28
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,909 交易量
$5,909 交易量
2026-08-28
12°C或以下
$286 交易量
否
13°C
$231 交易量
否
14°C
$258 交易量
否
15°C
$445 交易量
否
16°C
$977 交易量
否
17°C
$1,042 交易量
是
18°C
$1,116 交易量
否
19°C
$732 交易量
否
20°C
$297 交易量
否
21°C
$307 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$218 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office show a stable overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 17–18°C through the early morning hours. This aligns with the market's 95.5% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting trader confidence in the tight consensus across ensemble runs and observational data. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but current synoptic conditions—lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection—support the elevated reading. Minor deviations remain possible if localized clearing increases overnight heat loss or if the official observing station records a slightly different value, though the forecast envelope stays narrowly centered on 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,909結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office show a stable overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 17–18°C through the early morning hours. This aligns with the market's 95.5% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting trader confidence in the tight consensus across ensemble runs and observational data. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but current synoptic conditions—lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection—support the elevated reading. Minor deviations remain possible if localized clearing increases overnight heat loss or if the official observing station records a slightly different value, though the forecast envelope stays narrowly centered on 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,909結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office show a stable overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent southwest flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 17–18°C through the early morning hours. This aligns with the market's 95.5% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting trader confidence in the tight consensus across ensemble runs and observational data. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but current synoptic conditions—lacking strong radiational cooling or cold advection—support the elevated reading. Minor deviations remain possible if localized clearing increases overnight heat loss or if the official observing station records a slightly different value, though the forecast envelope stays narrowly centered on 17°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions