Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月2日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 75%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
36°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
26%
33°C
75%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 75%
32°C 26%
34°C 2%
36°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
28°C or below
$259 交易量
<1%
29°C
$421 交易量
<1%
30°C
$336 交易量
<1%
31°C
$474 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,063 交易量
26%
33°C
$4,598 交易量
75%
34°C
$563 交易量
2%
35°C
$345 交易量
<1%
36°C
$382 交易量
<1%
37°C
$250 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$244 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,934結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,934結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and local observations position a daily maximum near 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on September 2, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 74.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C. Early September climatology shows average highs of 29–30°C, but current guidance indicates slightly above-normal conditions under typical dry, northwest flow patterns with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. Model spreads remain narrow, with limited upside potential for 34°C or higher given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming heat advection signals. Updated short-range runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings expected overnight will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions