Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate northerly winds advecting warmer subtropical air into the region, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions on September 2. This setup favors modest boundary-layer warming and stronger insolation during peak heating hours compared to recent cooler days, though increasing cloud cover and a possible late frontal passage introduce uncertainty in the exact peak. Historical September maxima average around 19°C, but current synoptic patterns align with the upper end of the distribution. Market-implied odds clustering around 23–24°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized heating, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月2日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
22°C 21%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 30%
24°C 21%
22°C 21%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
$116 交易量
<1%
17°C
$306 交易量
<1%
18°C
$191 交易量
<1%
19°C
$14 交易量
2%
20°C
$115 交易量
3%
21°C
$129 交易量
10%
22°C
$72 交易量
21%
23°C
$76 交易量
30%
24°C
$21 交易量
21%
25°C
$43 交易量
7%
26°C or higher
$37 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate northerly winds advecting warmer subtropical air into the region, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions on September 2. This setup favors modest boundary-layer warming and stronger insolation during peak heating hours compared to recent cooler days, though increasing cloud cover and a possible late frontal passage introduce uncertainty in the exact peak. Historical September maxima average around 19°C, but current synoptic patterns align with the upper end of the distribution. Market-implied odds clustering around 23–24°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized heating, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate northerly winds advecting warmer subtropical air into the region, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions on September 2. This setup favors modest boundary-layer warming and stronger insolation during peak heating hours compared to recent cooler days, though increasing cloud cover and a possible late frontal passage introduce uncertainty in the exact peak. Historical September maxima average around 19°C, but current synoptic patterns align with the upper end of the distribution. Market-implied odds clustering around 23–24°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized heating, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,120結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate northerly winds advecting warmer subtropical air into the region, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C under partly cloudy conditions on September 2. This setup favors modest boundary-layer warming and stronger insolation during peak heating hours compared to recent cooler days, though increasing cloud cover and a possible late frontal passage introduce uncertainty in the exact peak. Historical September maxima average around 19°C, but current synoptic patterns align with the upper end of the distribution. Market-implied odds clustering around 23–24°C reflect trader weighting of model spread and potential for localized heating, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions