Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 22°C for London on August 31, supported by a moderate westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle, expected under 50% probability in afternoon hours, further cap peak values near or slightly below the seasonal average of roughly 20–21°C. Ensemble spread across global models keeps 21–23°C outcomes closely matched, with traders weighting the precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer mixing as key variables that could shift the recorded high by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日倫敦的最高溫度?
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
24°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
21%
24°C
11%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
21°C 28%
23°C 21%
24°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
21%
24°C
11%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 22°C for London on August 31, supported by a moderate westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Scattered light showers or drizzle, expected under 50% probability in afternoon hours, further cap peak values near or slightly below the seasonal average of roughly 20–21°C. Ensemble spread across global models keeps 21–23°C outcomes closely matched, with traders weighting the precise timing of any breaks in cloud and boundary-layer mixing as key variables that could shift the recorded high by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions