National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project a daily high near 89–91°F under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with easterly winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These convective patterns often increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps peak readings, aligning with climatological August averages around 88–90°F at Miami International Airport. Model consensus from recent NWS runs supports this range while noting minor uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief pushes toward 92°F or hold temperatures in the upper 80s. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 90–91°F, aggregates these verifiable forecast elements and historical analogs rather than speculative extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6.1%
最新
$12,438 交易量
最新
$12,438 交易量
2026-08-29
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
3%
96°F或更高
1%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 14%
86-87°F 6.1%
最新
$12,438 交易量
最新
$12,438 交易量
2026-08-29
77°F or below
$160 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$160 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$170 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$351 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,908 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$929 交易量
6%
88-89°F
$2,058 交易量
29%
90-91°F
$1,762 交易量
45%
92-93°F
$3,952 交易量
14%
94-95°F
$631 交易量
3%
96°F或更高
$359 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project a daily high near 89–91°F under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with easterly winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These convective patterns often increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps peak readings, aligning with climatological August averages around 88–90°F at Miami International Airport. Model consensus from recent NWS runs supports this range while noting minor uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief pushes toward 92°F or hold temperatures in the upper 80s. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 90–91°F, aggregates these verifiable forecast elements and historical analogs rather than speculative extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,438結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project a daily high near 89–91°F under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with easterly winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These convective patterns often increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps peak readings, aligning with climatological August averages around 88–90°F at Miami International Airport. Model consensus from recent NWS runs supports this range while noting minor uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief pushes toward 92°F or hold temperatures in the upper 80s. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 90–91°F, aggregates these verifiable forecast elements and historical analogs rather than speculative extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,438結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project a daily high near 89–91°F under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with easterly winds, high humidity, and a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These convective patterns often increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps peak readings, aligning with climatological August averages around 88–90°F at Miami International Airport. Model consensus from recent NWS runs supports this range while noting minor uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief pushes toward 92°F or hold temperatures in the upper 80s. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 90–91°F, aggregates these verifiable forecast elements and historical analogs rather than speculative extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions