Persistent high humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiational cooling across South Florida, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project overnight lows in the lower 80s, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where dew points remain in the upper 70s and heat indices exceed 100°F during the day. Traders appear to favor the 76-77°F bin as the most probable official low, reflecting historical August averages around 77-78°F at Miami International Airport alongside the expectation that any breaks in cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling before sunrise. No significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are indicated in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear-sky development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月29日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 92%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$12,129 交易量
$12,129 交易量
2026-08-29
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
92%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 92%
74-75°F 4%
72-73°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$12,129 交易量
$12,129 交易量
2026-08-29
67°F或以下
$182 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$221 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$377 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$242 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$208 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$541 交易量
92%
78-79°F
$5,116 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,942 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,528 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,571 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiational cooling across South Florida, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project overnight lows in the lower 80s, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where dew points remain in the upper 70s and heat indices exceed 100°F during the day. Traders appear to favor the 76-77°F bin as the most probable official low, reflecting historical August averages around 77-78°F at Miami International Airport alongside the expectation that any breaks in cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling before sunrise. No significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are indicated in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear-sky development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$12,129結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiational cooling across South Florida, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project overnight lows in the lower 80s, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where dew points remain in the upper 70s and heat indices exceed 100°F during the day. Traders appear to favor the 76-77°F bin as the most probable official low, reflecting historical August averages around 77-78°F at Miami International Airport alongside the expectation that any breaks in cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling before sunrise. No significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are indicated in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear-sky development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,129結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETPersistent high humidity, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiational cooling across South Florida, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms. NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 29 project overnight lows in the lower 80s, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where dew points remain in the upper 70s and heat indices exceed 100°F during the day. Traders appear to favor the 76-77°F bin as the most probable official low, reflecting historical August averages around 77-78°F at Miami International Airport alongside the expectation that any breaks in cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling before sunrise. No significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are indicated in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected clear-sky development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions