Latest numerical weather prediction models from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and a 40% chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime warming. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 17°C (27%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact maximums amid variable cloud thickness and steering flow. Historical August averages hover around 18°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings; traders watch for the next official SAWS update and refined model runs expected later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月29日的最高溫度？
開普敦8月29日的最高溫度？
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
19°C 18%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19°C
18%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C或以上
<1%
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
19°C 18%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
12°C或以下
$39 交易量
<1%
13°C
$129 交易量
<1%
14°C
$159 交易量
2%
15°C
$95 交易量
4%
16°C
$760 交易量
12%
17°C
$696 交易量
27%
18°C
$1,080 交易量
29%
19°C
$814 交易量
18%
20°C
$479 交易量
5%
21°C
$115 交易量
2%
22°C或以上
$97 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and a 40% chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime warming. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 17°C (27%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact maximums amid variable cloud thickness and steering flow. Historical August averages hover around 18°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings; traders watch for the next official SAWS update and refined model runs expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,456結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and a 40% chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime warming. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 17°C (27%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact maximums amid variable cloud thickness and steering flow. Historical August averages hover around 18°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings; traders watch for the next official SAWS update and refined model runs expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,456結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles indicate a high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and a 40% chance of light rain or drizzle that limits daytime warming. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 17°C (27%) and 18°C (28.5%), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact maximums amid variable cloud thickness and steering flow. Historical August averages hover around 18°C, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings; traders watch for the next official SAWS update and refined model runs expected later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions