Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 28 indicate a mild winter day with highs most likely near 20–22°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds. Models show northwest winds potentially advecting warmer air ahead of a frontal passage, while increasing cloud cover and moderate humidity could limit daytime radiative heating. Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies and temperatures already reaching the low-to-mid 20s°C, providing a warmer baseline than the long-term August average of about 17°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any sea-breeze shift or low-level stratus development, which official guidance from regional meteorological services will clarify in coming updates. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日開普敦最高溫度?
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 15%
19°C 8%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
7%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 15%
19°C 8%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C或以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 28 indicate a mild winter day with highs most likely near 20–22°C, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds. Models show northwest winds potentially advecting warmer air ahead of a frontal passage, while increasing cloud cover and moderate humidity could limit daytime radiative heating. Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies and temperatures already reaching the low-to-mid 20s°C, providing a warmer baseline than the long-term August average of about 17°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any sea-breeze shift or low-level stratus development, which official guidance from regional meteorological services will clarify in coming updates. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions