Forecasts from global and regional models project a peak temperature of 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 26, aligning with the month’s climatological average maximum near 38°C under typical subtropical high pressure and Red Sea moisture. Multiple runs show mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, though minor variations in afternoon sea-breeze timing or thin cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by roughly 1°C. Trader-implied odds near 35% for 39°C or higher and 26% for exactly 38°C capture this narrow uncertainty band in the final model consensus and local observational adjustments expected before resolution. No significant synoptic changes are indicated through the short-term window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日吉達的最高溫度?
39°C或以上 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 19%
36°C 12%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
19%
38°C
26%
39°C或以上
36%
39°C或以上 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 19%
36°C 12%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
19%
38°C
26%
39°C或以上
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from global and regional models project a peak temperature of 38–39°C in Jeddah on August 26, aligning with the month’s climatological average maximum near 38°C under typical subtropical high pressure and Red Sea moisture. Multiple runs show mostly sunny conditions with light westerly winds, though minor variations in afternoon sea-breeze timing or thin cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by roughly 1°C. Trader-implied odds near 35% for 39°C or higher and 26% for exactly 38°C capture this narrow uncertainty band in the final model consensus and local observational adjustments expected before resolution. No significant synoptic changes are indicated through the short-term window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions