Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services indicate a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover over Moscow by August 26, suppressing daytime heating and capping highs near 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where outcomes cluster tightly around these values amid minor model spread on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Overcast conditions and light precipitation reduce solar insolation and evapotranspiration effects, while historical August baselines near 23°C highlight the anomaly. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日莫斯科最高溫度?
17°C 28%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 15%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
15%
19°C
10%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 28%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 15%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
15%
19°C
10%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services indicate a shift to cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover over Moscow by August 26, suppressing daytime heating and capping highs near 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus, where outcomes cluster tightly around these values amid minor model spread on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Overcast conditions and light precipitation reduce solar insolation and evapotranspiration effects, while historical August baselines near 23°C highlight the anomaly. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions