Official Met Office observations recorded a daily maximum of 22°C across London stations on August 24, aligning with post-heatwave cooling and near-average late-summer conditions following the mid-August peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens. Forecast models and observational data showed high pressure building with lighter winds and reduced insolation, keeping afternoon temperatures capped well below seasonal extremes. This outcome reflects the market-implied consensus backed by real-time data releases, with the 0.1% probability for 23°C underscoring minimal upside variance. A realistic challenge could arise only from revised station verification or microclimate discrepancies at the primary reporting site, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月24日倫敦的最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$89,034 交易量
$89,034 交易量
2026-08-24
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$89,034 交易量
$89,034 交易量
2026-08-24
17°C or below
$382 交易量
No
18°C
$650 交易量
No
19°C
$7,398 交易量
No
20°C
$17,760 交易量
No
21°C
$16,512 交易量
No
22°C
$18,777 交易量
Yes
23°C
$11,171 交易量
No
24°C
$11,199 交易量
No
25°C
$3,492 交易量
No
26°C
$546 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$1,147 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations recorded a daily maximum of 22°C across London stations on August 24, aligning with post-heatwave cooling and near-average late-summer conditions following the mid-August peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens. Forecast models and observational data showed high pressure building with lighter winds and reduced insolation, keeping afternoon temperatures capped well below seasonal extremes. This outcome reflects the market-implied consensus backed by real-time data releases, with the 0.1% probability for 23°C underscoring minimal upside variance. A realistic challenge could arise only from revised station verification or microclimate discrepancies at the primary reporting site, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$89,034結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations recorded a daily maximum of 22°C across London stations on August 24, aligning with post-heatwave cooling and near-average late-summer conditions following the mid-August peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens. Forecast models and observational data showed high pressure building with lighter winds and reduced insolation, keeping afternoon temperatures capped well below seasonal extremes. This outcome reflects the market-implied consensus backed by real-time data releases, with the 0.1% probability for 23°C underscoring minimal upside variance. A realistic challenge could arise only from revised station verification or microclimate discrepancies at the primary reporting site, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$89,034結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations recorded a daily maximum of 22°C across London stations on August 24, aligning with post-heatwave cooling and near-average late-summer conditions following the mid-August peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens. Forecast models and observational data showed high pressure building with lighter winds and reduced insolation, keeping afternoon temperatures capped well below seasonal extremes. This outcome reflects the market-implied consensus backed by real-time data releases, with the 0.1% probability for 23°C underscoring minimal upside variance. A realistic challenge could arise only from revised station verification or microclimate discrepancies at the primary reporting site, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions