Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日巴黎最高溫度？
9月2日巴黎最高溫度？
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
最新
$11,375 交易量
最新
$11,375 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
9%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 9%
最新
$11,375 交易量
最新
$11,375 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
$420 交易量
<1%
21°C
$204 交易量
<1%
22°C
$391 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,343 交易量
2%
24°C
$2,721 交易量
16%
25°C
$1,421 交易量
42%
26°C
$1,473 交易量
28%
27°C
$1,132 交易量
9%
28°C
$163 交易量
<1%
29°C
$931 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$11,375結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,375結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a daytime high of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2, driven by moderate westerly flow, stable high pressure near 1023 hPa, and limited warm-air advection under partly to mostly cloudy skies. These conditions favor 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes, consistent with current runs showing afternoon peaks near 23–25°C before cooling. Historical September averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign low probability to 27°C or higher. Minor model spread in cloud cover and wind could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C, with final observational data from Météo-France resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions