Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月1日最高溫度？
巴黎9月1日最高溫度？
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
16%
23°C
42%
24°C
29%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
20°C or below
$81 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$43 交易量
16%
23°C
$220 交易量
42%
24°C
$344 交易量
29%
25°C
$22 交易量
9%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$715結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$715結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models position the highest temperature in Paris on September 1 near 23–24 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 43 % and 24.5 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and seasonal late-summer insolation limit daytime heating, keeping maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius with low precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; historical climatology for early September supports similar baselines near 22–25 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 31 will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions