Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a moderate high near 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating in the region's continental climate. Model consensus, including ECMWF and local runs, shows maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 11–12°C, suppressing further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C, as recent observations confirm a cooling trend from earlier August peaks amid stable high pressure and no significant southerly advection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble outputs, with minor upside risk if skies clear more than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日安卡拉的最高溫度?
25°C 57%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
57%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 57%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
57%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a moderate high near 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating in the region's continental climate. Model consensus, including ECMWF and local runs, shows maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 11–12°C, suppressing further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C, as recent observations confirm a cooling trend from earlier August peaks amid stable high pressure and no significant southerly advection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble outputs, with minor upside risk if skies clear more than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions