Traders see 80-81°F as the most likely low for Miami on August 31 because National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models currently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Typical late-August climatology for the region supports this range, with urban heat effects and minimal cloud cover variability keeping temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture surges that would alter the pattern, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible before the 31st. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging standard ensemble uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月31日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏73度或以下
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏73度或以下
$0 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$47 交易量
13%
78-79°F
$147 交易量
32%
80-81°F
$74 交易量
47%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
11%
84-85°F
$113 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$160 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
8%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 80-81°F as the most likely low for Miami on August 31 because National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models currently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Typical late-August climatology for the region supports this range, with urban heat effects and minimal cloud cover variability keeping temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture surges that would alter the pattern, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible before the 31st. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging standard ensemble uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$561結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 80-81°F as the most likely low for Miami on August 31 because National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models currently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Typical late-August climatology for the region supports this range, with urban heat effects and minimal cloud cover variability keeping temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture surges that would alter the pattern, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible before the 31st. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging standard ensemble uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$561結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTraders see 80-81°F as the most likely low for Miami on August 31 because National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models currently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under persistent subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Typical late-August climatology for the region supports this range, with urban heat effects and minimal cloud cover variability keeping temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture surges that would alter the pattern, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible before the 31st. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging standard ensemble uncertainty in short-range temperature guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions