**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, issued on September 1, 2026, project daytime highs of 24–26°C in Moscow under partly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light rain or thunderstorms and southerly winds of 5–10 m/s.** This places the expected maximum squarely in the 25°C range, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple real-time and hourly model runs corroborate a peak near 25°C (roughly 77°F), above the long-term September 1 average high of about 19.5°C but well below historical records near 29°C. Atmospheric conditions—including moderate pressure around 760–762 mmHg and sufficient moisture—support modest warming without the clear skies or stronger advection needed for higher readings. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning treating the forecast as highly reliable for market resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor observational variance from station siting, exact timing of peak heating before cloud cover or precipitation intensifies, or last-minute model adjustments. A sudden clearing or stronger warm-air advection could push readings to 26–27°C, though current data and timing make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月1日莫斯科的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,244 交易量
$32,244 交易量
2026-09-01
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,244 交易量
$32,244 交易量
2026-09-01
18°C or below
$276 交易量
No
19°C
$276 交易量
No
20°C
$946 交易量
No
21°C
$1,978 交易量
No
22°C
$2,049 交易量
No
23°C
$3,146 交易量
No
24°C
$6,551 交易量
No
25°C
$5,850 交易量
Yes
26°C
$6,432 交易量
No
27°C
$3,280 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$1,459 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, issued on September 1, 2026, project daytime highs of 24–26°C in Moscow under partly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light rain or thunderstorms and southerly winds of 5–10 m/s.** This places the expected maximum squarely in the 25°C range, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple real-time and hourly model runs corroborate a peak near 25°C (roughly 77°F), above the long-term September 1 average high of about 19.5°C but well below historical records near 29°C.
Atmospheric conditions—including moderate pressure around 760–762 mmHg and sufficient moisture—support modest warming without the clear skies or stronger advection needed for higher readings. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning treating the forecast as highly reliable for market resolution.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor observational variance from station siting, exact timing of peak heating before cloud cover or precipitation intensifies, or last-minute model adjustments. A sudden clearing or stronger warm-air advection could push readings to 26–27°C, though current data and timing make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$32,244結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, issued on September 1, 2026, project daytime highs of 24–26°C in Moscow under partly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light rain or thunderstorms and southerly winds of 5–10 m/s.** This places the expected maximum squarely in the 25°C range, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple real-time and hourly model runs corroborate a peak near 25°C (roughly 77°F), above the long-term September 1 average high of about 19.5°C but well below historical records near 29°C.
Atmospheric conditions—including moderate pressure around 760–762 mmHg and sufficient moisture—support modest warming without the clear skies or stronger advection needed for higher readings. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning treating the forecast as highly reliable for market resolution.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor observational variance from station siting, exact timing of peak heating before cloud cover or precipitation intensifies, or last-minute model adjustments. A sudden clearing or stronger warm-air advection could push readings to 26–27°C, though current data and timing make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,244結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, issued on September 1, 2026, project daytime highs of 24–26°C in Moscow under partly cloudy to overcast skies with periods of light rain or thunderstorms and southerly winds of 5–10 m/s.** This places the expected maximum squarely in the 25°C range, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple real-time and hourly model runs corroborate a peak near 25°C (roughly 77°F), above the long-term September 1 average high of about 19.5°C but well below historical records near 29°C. Atmospheric conditions—including moderate pressure around 760–762 mmHg and sufficient moisture—support modest warming without the clear skies or stronger advection needed for higher readings. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning treating the forecast as highly reliable for market resolution. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor observational variance from station siting, exact timing of peak heating before cloud cover or precipitation intensifies, or last-minute model adjustments. A sudden clearing or stronger warm-air advection could push readings to 26–27°C, though current data and timing make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions