Trader consensus at 34°C for Chongqing's September 1 high stems directly from verified observational data recorded at local meteorological stations, confirming this peak amid stable late-summer atmospheric conditions. Climatological records indicate typical September maxima near 30–32°C, making 34°C a moderately above-average but well-supported value consistent with regional temperature trends and humidity patterns. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty from these ground-truth measurements rather than model projections. Limited uncertainty persists around final official verification by the China Meteorological Administration, though revisions to daily maxima occur infrequently once initial reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日重慶氣溫最高？
9月1日重慶氣溫最高？
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,024 交易量
$19,024 交易量
2026-09-01
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,024 交易量
$19,024 交易量
2026-09-01
29°C or below
$121 交易量
No
30°C
$304 交易量
No
31°C
$382 交易量
No
32°C
$1,452 交易量
No
33°C
$1,156 交易量
No
34°C
$3,660 交易量
Yes
35°C
$2,901 交易量
No
36°C
$3,544 交易量
No
37°C
$2,848 交易量
No
38°C
$1,542 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,115 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 34°C for Chongqing's September 1 high stems directly from verified observational data recorded at local meteorological stations, confirming this peak amid stable late-summer atmospheric conditions. Climatological records indicate typical September maxima near 30–32°C, making 34°C a moderately above-average but well-supported value consistent with regional temperature trends and humidity patterns. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty from these ground-truth measurements rather than model projections. Limited uncertainty persists around final official verification by the China Meteorological Administration, though revisions to daily maxima occur infrequently once initial reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$19,024結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 34°C for Chongqing's September 1 high stems directly from verified observational data recorded at local meteorological stations, confirming this peak amid stable late-summer atmospheric conditions. Climatological records indicate typical September maxima near 30–32°C, making 34°C a moderately above-average but well-supported value consistent with regional temperature trends and humidity patterns. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty from these ground-truth measurements rather than model projections. Limited uncertainty persists around final official verification by the China Meteorological Administration, though revisions to daily maxima occur infrequently once initial reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,024結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 34°C for Chongqing's September 1 high stems directly from verified observational data recorded at local meteorological stations, confirming this peak amid stable late-summer atmospheric conditions. Climatological records indicate typical September maxima near 30–32°C, making 34°C a moderately above-average but well-supported value consistent with regional temperature trends and humidity patterns. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty from these ground-truth measurements rather than model projections. Limited uncertainty persists around final official verification by the China Meteorological Administration, though revisions to daily maxima occur infrequently once initial reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions