Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 4 will likely settle in the low to mid-50s under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and residual moisture from an early-September cold front. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 54.9°F for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 52–53°F bin (43.5%) aligns with ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation from this range, while the 50–51°F (30%) and 54–55°F (27%) options capture remaining model spread. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日西雅圖的最低溫度？
9月4日西雅圖的最低溫度？
52-53華氏度 44%
華氏45度或以下 43%
50-51°F 28%
54-55°F 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏45度或以下
43%
46-47°F
15%
48-49°F
17%
50-51°F
28%
52-53華氏度
44%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
16%
64°F或以上
14%
52-53華氏度 44%
華氏45度或以下 43%
50-51°F 28%
54-55°F 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏45度或以下
$0 交易量
43%
46-47°F
$0 交易量
15%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
17%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
28%
52-53華氏度
$0 交易量
44%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
28%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
15%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
16%
64°F或以上
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 4 will likely settle in the low to mid-50s under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and residual moisture from an early-September cold front. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 54.9°F for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 52–53°F bin (43.5%) aligns with ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation from this range, while the 50–51°F (30%) and 54–55°F (27%) options capture remaining model spread. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 4 will likely settle in the low to mid-50s under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and residual moisture from an early-September cold front. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 54.9°F for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 52–53°F bin (43.5%) aligns with ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation from this range, while the 50–51°F (30%) and 54–55°F (27%) options capture remaining model spread. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in Seattle on September 4 will likely settle in the low to mid-50s under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and residual moisture from an early-September cold front. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 54.9°F for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 52–53°F bin (43.5%) aligns with ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation from this range, while the 50–51°F (30%) and 54–55°F (27%) options capture remaining model spread. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions