**Official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on September 5, 2026.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and typical early-September synoptic conditions have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks near this level at representative stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs of 23–27°C, providing additional context for the market-implied outcome. Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data streams. The primary risk to this positioning remains a late-day model revision or station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月5日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,648 交易量
$23,648 交易量
2026-09-05
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,648 交易量
$23,648 交易量
2026-09-05
22°C或以下
$862 交易量
否
23°C
$521 交易量
否
24°C
$332 交易量
否
25°C
$940 交易量
否
26°C
$8,972 交易量
是
27°C
$6,351 交易量
否
28°C
$1,923 交易量
否
29°C
$1,100 交易量
否
30°C
$817 交易量
否
31°C
$1,419 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$411 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on September 5, 2026.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and typical early-September synoptic conditions have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks near this level at representative stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs of 23–27°C, providing additional context for the market-implied outcome. Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data streams. The primary risk to this positioning remains a late-day model revision or station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,648結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on September 5, 2026.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and typical early-September synoptic conditions have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks near this level at representative stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs of 23–27°C, providing additional context for the market-implied outcome. Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data streams. The primary risk to this positioning remains a late-day model revision or station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,648結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on September 5, 2026.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 10–20 km/h, and typical early-September synoptic conditions have limited daytime heating, keeping afternoon peaks near this level at representative stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs of 23–27°C, providing additional context for the market-implied outcome. Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects real-time skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data streams. The primary risk to this positioning remains a late-day model revision or station-specific microclimate reading differing by 1°C, though current observations make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions