Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a September 5 high temperature in Beijing most likely near 32–33 °C, with southerly flow advecting warmer air while variable cloud cover and light winds modulate daytime heating. Official guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy conditions that could trim peak values by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (25.5 %), 33 °C (28.5 %), and 34 °C (25.5 %). Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and insolation remain the main sources of uncertainty ahead of the event. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日北京最高溫度？
9月5日北京最高溫度？
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
31%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C或更高
3%
33°C 31%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
9%
31°C
$5 交易量
11%
32°C
$27 交易量
25%
33°C
$66 交易量
31%
34°C
$143 交易量
26%
35°C
$51 交易量
9%
36°C
$6 交易量
5%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a September 5 high temperature in Beijing most likely near 32–33 °C, with southerly flow advecting warmer air while variable cloud cover and light winds modulate daytime heating. Official guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy conditions that could trim peak values by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (25.5 %), 33 °C (28.5 %), and 34 °C (25.5 %). Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and insolation remain the main sources of uncertainty ahead of the event. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$299結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a September 5 high temperature in Beijing most likely near 32–33 °C, with southerly flow advecting warmer air while variable cloud cover and light winds modulate daytime heating. Official guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy conditions that could trim peak values by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (25.5 %), 33 °C (28.5 %), and 34 °C (25.5 %). Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and insolation remain the main sources of uncertainty ahead of the event. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$299結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a September 5 high temperature in Beijing most likely near 32–33 °C, with southerly flow advecting warmer air while variable cloud cover and light winds modulate daytime heating. Official guidance shows partly to mostly cloudy conditions that could trim peak values by 1–2 °C relative to clearer scenarios, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (25.5 %), 33 °C (28.5 %), and 34 °C (25.5 %). Model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and insolation remain the main sources of uncertainty ahead of the event. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and local observations over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions