Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and regional models show highs of 33–34°C on September 3 under persistent subtropical high-pressure control, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds favoring strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing. This aligns with the prior day’s observed peak near 34–35°C and explains the tight market clustering around those levels. Minor differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on subtle variables such as the exact timing of any western-mountain moisture influx, afternoon cloud fraction, or urban heat-island amplification versus official station readings; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the stable ridge and low precipitation risk. Traders appear to weight the latest official guidance and short-term model consensus most heavily ahead of the day’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日成都最高溫度？
9月3日成都最高溫度？
33°C 38%
34°C 35%
32°C 17%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
38%
34°C
35%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 35%
32°C 17%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
27°C or below
$584 交易量
<1%
28°C
$147 交易量
<1%
29°C
$59 交易量
1%
30°C
$760 交易量
2%
31°C
$718 交易量
5%
32°C
$697 交易量
17%
33°C
$508 交易量
38%
34°C
$1,613 交易量
35%
35°C
$822 交易量
6%
36°C
$1,133 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$474 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and regional models show highs of 33–34°C on September 3 under persistent subtropical high-pressure control, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds favoring strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing. This aligns with the prior day’s observed peak near 34–35°C and explains the tight market clustering around those levels. Minor differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on subtle variables such as the exact timing of any western-mountain moisture influx, afternoon cloud fraction, or urban heat-island amplification versus official station readings; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the stable ridge and low precipitation risk. Traders appear to weight the latest official guidance and short-term model consensus most heavily ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,516結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and regional models show highs of 33–34°C on September 3 under persistent subtropical high-pressure control, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds favoring strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing. This aligns with the prior day’s observed peak near 34–35°C and explains the tight market clustering around those levels. Minor differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on subtle variables such as the exact timing of any western-mountain moisture influx, afternoon cloud fraction, or urban heat-island amplification versus official station readings; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the stable ridge and low precipitation risk. Traders appear to weight the latest official guidance and short-term model consensus most heavily ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,516結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Station and regional models show highs of 33–34°C on September 3 under persistent subtropical high-pressure control, with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds favoring strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing. This aligns with the prior day’s observed peak near 34–35°C and explains the tight market clustering around those levels. Minor differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on subtle variables such as the exact timing of any western-mountain moisture influx, afternoon cloud fraction, or urban heat-island amplification versus official station readings; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the stable ridge and low precipitation risk. Traders appear to weight the latest official guidance and short-term model consensus most heavily ahead of the day’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions