Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Cape Town on September 5, with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds supporting daytime highs most likely between 21–24°C. Recent observational data and short-range guidance show temperatures building from overnight lows near 11–13°C to afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical maxima average near 18–20°C. Ensemble consensus places the highest probability on 23–24°C, reflecting limited spread across runs and absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous warming. Traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the narrow forecast envelope rather than outlier scenarios. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月5日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月5日的最高溫度？
24°C 40%
23°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
40%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 29%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
20°C或以下
$495 交易量
2%
21°C
$320 交易量
2%
22°C
$863 交易量
9%
23°C
$496 交易量
29%
24°C
$1,917 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,203 交易量
19%
26°C
$403 交易量
4%
27°C
$418 交易量
3%
28°C
$488 交易量
1%
29°C
$290 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$305 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Cape Town on September 5, with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds supporting daytime highs most likely between 21–24°C. Recent observational data and short-range guidance show temperatures building from overnight lows near 11–13°C to afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical maxima average near 18–20°C. Ensemble consensus places the highest probability on 23–24°C, reflecting limited spread across runs and absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous warming. Traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the narrow forecast envelope rather than outlier scenarios. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$7,198結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Cape Town on September 5, with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds supporting daytime highs most likely between 21–24°C. Recent observational data and short-range guidance show temperatures building from overnight lows near 11–13°C to afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical maxima average near 18–20°C. Ensemble consensus places the highest probability on 23–24°C, reflecting limited spread across runs and absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous warming. Traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the narrow forecast envelope rather than outlier scenarios. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,198結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over Cape Town on September 5, with clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds supporting daytime highs most likely between 21–24°C. Recent observational data and short-range guidance show temperatures building from overnight lows near 11–13°C to afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical maxima average near 18–20°C. Ensemble consensus places the highest probability on 23–24°C, reflecting limited spread across runs and absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous warming. Traders appear to weight these model outputs heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the narrow forecast envelope rather than outlier scenarios. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum recorded at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions