Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
9月6日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$182 交易量
<1%
27°C
$165 交易量
<1%
28°C
$167 交易量
1%
29°C
$179 交易量
3%
30°C
$454 交易量
5%
31°C
$1,930 交易量
33%
32°C
$995 交易量
41%
33°C
$963 交易量
19%
34°C
$178 交易量
4%
35°C
$165 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$175 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$5,554結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,554結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like GFS and local agencies project a September 6 maximum near 30–31°C for Karachi, with ensemble spreads creating tight uncertainty between 31°C and 32°C. High humidity near 70–80%, persistent westerly winds, and variable cloud cover from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime heating through sea-breeze circulation and reduced insolation, preventing stronger warming. Recent days have seen highs of 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s close distribution among 31°C (33%), 32°C (38.5%), and 33°C (18.5%) outcomes as traders weigh minor model differences in timing of clouds and wind strength. Updated runs and any shifts in marine layer depth will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions