**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions are anchoring trader expectations for Austin’s September 7 overnight low in the mid-70s.** Official forecasts from NWS and multiple models show light southerly flow around 5 mph, elevated dew points near 70–74°F, and mostly clear skies that limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the early-September climatological average of ~70–71°F. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F (33.5%) and 76–77°F (30.5%) bins, with small model differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover able to shift the exact low by a degree or two. Stronger mixing or a brief increase in southerly moisture could push readings toward 78°F, while any unexpected clearing and lighter winds might allow a dip to 74°F. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月7日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月7日奧斯汀最低溫度？
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
華氏67度或以下
1%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
20%
華氏86度或以上
1%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
華氏67度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
15%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
40%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
40%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
35%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
40%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
40%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
40%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
20%
華氏86度或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions are anchoring trader expectations for Austin’s September 7 overnight low in the mid-70s.** Official forecasts from NWS and multiple models show light southerly flow around 5 mph, elevated dew points near 70–74°F, and mostly clear skies that limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the early-September climatological average of ~70–71°F. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F (33.5%) and 76–77°F (30.5%) bins, with small model differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover able to shift the exact low by a degree or two. Stronger mixing or a brief increase in southerly moisture could push readings toward 78°F, while any unexpected clearing and lighter winds might allow a dip to 74°F. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions are anchoring trader expectations for Austin’s September 7 overnight low in the mid-70s.** Official forecasts from NWS and multiple models show light southerly flow around 5 mph, elevated dew points near 70–74°F, and mostly clear skies that limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the early-September climatological average of ~70–71°F. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F (33.5%) and 76–77°F (30.5%) bins, with small model differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover able to shift the exact low by a degree or two. Stronger mixing or a brief increase in southerly moisture could push readings toward 78°F, while any unexpected clearing and lighter winds might allow a dip to 74°F. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-07市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions are anchoring trader expectations for Austin’s September 7 overnight low in the mid-70s.** Official forecasts from NWS and multiple models show light southerly flow around 5 mph, elevated dew points near 70–74°F, and mostly clear skies that limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the early-September climatological average of ~70–71°F. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F (33.5%) and 76–77°F (30.5%) bins, with small model differences in wind speed or residual cloud cover able to shift the exact low by a degree or two. Stronger mixing or a brief increase in southerly moisture could push readings toward 78°F, while any unexpected clearing and lighter winds might allow a dip to 74°F. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions