Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月8日達拉斯的最高溫度？
100-101°F 100.0%
華氏91度或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$38,154 交易量
$38,154 交易量
2026-09-08
華氏91度或以下
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99華氏度
否
100-101°F
是
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108-109°F
否
華氏110度或以上
否
100-101°F 100.0%
華氏91度或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$38,154 交易量
$38,154 交易量
2026-09-08
華氏91度或以下
$1,605 交易量
否
92-93°F
$414 交易量
否
94-95°F
$1,174 交易量
否
96-97°F
$1,486 交易量
否
98-99華氏度
$10,955 交易量
否
100-101°F
$7,323 交易量
是
102-103°F
$4,709 交易量
否
104-105°F
$8,408 交易量
否
106-107°F
$1,024 交易量
否
108-109°F
$858 交易量
否
華氏110度或以上
$199 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$38,154結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,154結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 3:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent late-summer heat across North Texas, driven by strong high pressure and southerly flow, produced observed highs of 100–102°F at Dallas-area stations on September 8, aligning closely with National Weather Service measurements of 102°F at DFW. Multiple forecast models and climatological analogs from recent heat waves supported expectations of peak readings near the upper end of the 100–101°F range before final verification. With the market-implied probability at essentially 100% for that bin, trader consensus reflects verified observational data and the low likelihood of rapid cooling or measurement revision. Only an unprecedented late-day temperature drop or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift resolution outside this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions