**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 77°F on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the 76-77°F bin that commands 96.5% market-implied odds.** This reading occurred around 6 AM local time amid above-normal warmth, with the daily average reaching 80-87°F and no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or precipitation. Historical normals for early September lows hover near 70-71°F, and recent model runs plus surface analyses showed persistent southerly flow maintaining elevated overnight temperatures. While measurement revisions or alternate station data could theoretically shift resolution, the multi-station consensus and preliminary climatological reports make such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
9月6日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
76-77°F 100%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或以上
否
76-77°F 100%
67°F或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-09-06
67°F或以下
$60 交易量
否
68-69°F
$15 交易量
否
70-71°F
$51 交易量
否
72-73°F
$40 交易量
否
74-75°F
$50 交易量
否
76-77°F
$242 交易量
是
78-79°F
$91 交易量
否
80-81°F
$80 交易量
否
82-83°F
$25 交易量
否
84-85°F
$50 交易量
否
86°F或以上
$40 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 77°F on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the 76-77°F bin that commands 96.5% market-implied odds.** This reading occurred around 6 AM local time amid above-normal warmth, with the daily average reaching 80-87°F and no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or precipitation. Historical normals for early September lows hover near 70-71°F, and recent model runs plus surface analyses showed persistent southerly flow maintaining elevated overnight temperatures. While measurement revisions or alternate station data could theoretically shift resolution, the multi-station consensus and preliminary climatological reports make such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$744結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 77°F on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the 76-77°F bin that commands 96.5% market-implied odds.** This reading occurred around 6 AM local time amid above-normal warmth, with the daily average reaching 80-87°F and no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or precipitation. Historical normals for early September lows hover near 70-71°F, and recent model runs plus surface analyses showed persistent southerly flow maintaining elevated overnight temperatures. While measurement revisions or alternate station data could theoretically shift resolution, the multi-station consensus and preliminary climatological reports make such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$744結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 77°F on September 6, 2026, aligning precisely with the 76-77°F bin that commands 96.5% market-implied odds.** This reading occurred around 6 AM local time amid above-normal warmth, with the daily average reaching 80-87°F and no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or precipitation. Historical normals for early September lows hover near 70-71°F, and recent model runs plus surface analyses showed persistent southerly flow maintaining elevated overnight temperatures. While measurement revisions or alternate station data could theoretically shift resolution, the multi-station consensus and preliminary climatological reports make such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions